● CRITICALEastern EuropeSustained energy-infrastructure strike pattern observed● HIGHRed SeaVessel-traffic anomaly continues in southern transit lane● HIGHEast AsiaMultiple grey-zone incursions across median line in 24h window● MEDIUMSahelCivilian-protection deterioration in northern provinces● MEDIUMAndesMagnitude 6.1 seismic event, shallow depth● LOWGlobalCrypto OTC desks observe elevated cross-border settlement volumes● CRITICALEastern EuropeSustained energy-infrastructure strike pattern observed● HIGHRed SeaVessel-traffic anomaly continues in southern transit lane● HIGHEast AsiaMultiple grey-zone incursions across median line in 24h window● MEDIUMSahelCivilian-protection deterioration in northern provinces● MEDIUMAndesMagnitude 6.1 seismic event, shallow depth● LOWGlobalCrypto OTC desks observe elevated cross-border settlement volumes

Africa · Tình báo quốc gia

Sudan

ISO SDN · CAP Khartoum

SAF-RSF war approaches third year; famine declared in multiple states; largest displacement event of decade.

CRITICAL

Điểm rủi ro

86

/ 100

Tín hiệu tình báo

Armed conflict95

Governance90

Economic stress90

Social unrest85

Climate stress75

Health system95

Cyber threats30

Energy security70

Food security95

Displacement95

Sanctions exposure60

Alliance pressure45

Diễn biến mới nhất

Peer countries · Africa

Amhara insurgency expanding; Tigray reconstruction lagging; Red Sea access ambition raises regional friction.

ZA · South Africa

GNU governance experiment unprecedented; load-shedding eased but fragile; BRICS-aligned posture.

Banditry and ISWAP/JAS pressure across north; subsidy reform fallout; FX reforms partially stabilising.

M23/Rwanda dynamic in North Kivu; cobalt supply-chain stakes; humanitarian access constrained.