● CRITICALEastern EuropeSustained energy-infrastructure strike pattern observed● HIGHRed SeaVessel-traffic anomaly continues in southern transit lane● HIGHEast AsiaMultiple grey-zone incursions across median line in 24h window● MEDIUMSahelCivilian-protection deterioration in northern provinces● MEDIUMAndesMagnitude 6.1 seismic event, shallow depth● LOWGlobalCrypto OTC desks observe elevated cross-border settlement volumes● CRITICALEastern EuropeSustained energy-infrastructure strike pattern observed● HIGHRed SeaVessel-traffic anomaly continues in southern transit lane● HIGHEast AsiaMultiple grey-zone incursions across median line in 24h window● MEDIUMSahelCivilian-protection deterioration in northern provinces● MEDIUMAndesMagnitude 6.1 seismic event, shallow depth● LOWGlobalCrypto OTC desks observe elevated cross-border settlement volumes

AIS · Chokepoints · Insurance · Trade flows

Maritime

Global AIS (live)

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Live AIS aggregation · terrestrial + satellite

Chokepoint status

Strait of Hormuz

high

~20M bpd oil

Iran-flagged interactions; insurance premium re-priced.

Suez Canal

medium

~12% global trade

Rebound from Houthi diversions partial.

Bab el-Mandeb

high

Red Sea gateway

Sustained Houthi interdiction; AIS coverage anomalies.

Bosphorus

medium

~3% global trade

Black-Sea grain corridor sensitive to war signalling.

Panama Canal

low

~5% global trade

Drought-related transit constraints easing.

Strait of Malacca

low

~25% global trade

Steady volumes; periodic piracy advisories.

Taiwan Strait

medium

~50% container traffic

PLA grey-zone tempo above baseline.

English Channel

low

~500 vessels/day

Migrant crossings politically sensitive.