Philippines
ISO PHL · CAP Manila
South China Sea grey-zone friction sustained; Marcos-Duterte split widens; EDCA build-out continues.
Intelligence Signals
Latest Developments
China patrols waters east of Taiwan in response to Japan, Philippine maritime border talks
China patrols waters east of Taiwan in response to Japan, Philippine maritime border talks Reuters
China responds to Japan-Philippines boundary talks with expanded sea patrols
China responds to Japan-Philippines boundary talks with expanded sea patrols South China Morning Post
Chinese aircraft carrier held drills in east of Philippines, Japan says
Chinese aircraft carrier held drills in east of Philippines, Japan says Reuters
Philippine senator charged with plunder says he will surrender
Philippine senator charged with plunder says he will surrender AP News
Philippine senator arrested on plunder charge, with no right to bail
Philippine senator arrested on plunder charge, with no right to bail The Seattle Times
Philippine senator arrested in flood control scandal
Philippine senator arrested in flood control scandal Yahoo
Vietnam, Philippines Elevate Ties as They Navigate China Tension
Vietnam, Philippines Elevate Ties as They Navigate China Tension Bloomberg
Philippines, Vietnam upgrade ties, say South China Sea peace 'non-negotiable'
Philippines, Vietnam upgrade ties, say South China Sea peace 'non-negotiable' Reuters
Philippines and Vietnam close ranks on South China Sea as To Lam visits
Philippines and Vietnam close ranks on South China Sea as To Lam visits South China Morning Post
Peer countries · Asia
Real-estate slowdown, demographic headwinds, and Taiwan-strait posturing keep risk elevated. Tech decoupling pressure intensifies.
PLA grey-zone activity sustained at elevated tempo. Semiconductor leverage remains strategic deterrent.
Missile cadence accelerating. Russia partnership expanding via munitions exchange. Domestic food situation precarious.
Cross-border posture tense; demographic decline and chip-export sensitivity drive medium-term economic risk.