Syria

Multi-front escalation risk persists. Domestic political fractures and reservist exhaustion compound regional spillover.

Proxy network engaged across Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq. Economic distress and succession uncertainty raise miscalculation risk.

Currency collapse, state-capacity erosion, Hezbollah-Israel attritional exchanges. Reform package stalled.

Houthi maritime interdiction continues. UN truce intermittent. World's worst hunger crisis indicators.